Property intelligence built on
real transactions. Not estimates.
A dual-engine intelligence system built on verified ADREC transactions. One engine measures real appreciation by unit type from launch to today. The other projects a credible handover price range from comparable growth trajectories. Zero surveys. Zero developer-supplied figures.
How much has this project grown?
Measures verified appreciation from a project's launch price to today's price, broken down by unit type and size — directly from ADREC registered sales.
Where could the price be at handover?
Finds up to 5 real comparable projects, takes their proven growth rates, and turns the spread into a low–likely–high estimate at handover. The likely point is liquidity-weighted, so comparables with stronger recent resale activity influence it more. All comparables are listed so you can inspect each one.
"Up 30% since launch" is one of the most common claims in Abu Dhabi real estate — and one of the least verifiable.
Developer price lists change silently. Portals aggregate different unit types. No two agents quote the same number for the same project. And forward price estimates have historically been scenario-based black boxes — ranges derived from opaque blended inputs nobody can audit.
Investors and agents deserve better. APREX™ is the answer.
APREX™ Appreciation
A five-step methodology that computes verified, transaction-backed appreciation for every off-plan project on the ADREC database — updated daily.
Group similar units by size
Within each bedroom type, units are clustered by sqm so a 90 sqm 2-bed is never compared with a 140 sqm 2-bed. Every comparison is genuinely like-for-like.
Require real buyer activity
Appreciation is only surfaced where independent secondary-market buyers — not just the developer — are actively transacting. Developer-only activity is flagged separately and withheld from the headline score.
Measure launch price vs today's price
Median price per sqm at launch is compared against the most recent median — stripping out unit-size mix, floor premiums, and view uplifts that distort raw averages.
Score how much to trust the number
Each cluster receives a confidence score (0–100) anchored to resale activity. More real resales = higher confidence. A figure without adequate resale validation is labelled LOW or withheld entirely.
Roll up to one transparent headline
Cluster results are weighted by sales volume into a single ▲% since launch. A coverage percentage shows exactly which share of the project feeds into that number.
APREX™ Projection
A comparable-driven handover price range. Up to 5 real delivered projects, their proven rates, one transparent band — low, likely, and high — all sourced from verified ADREC records.
Start from today's market price
The projection starts from the exact same current price shown in this unit's Appreciation section — not the original developer list price, and not a separate estimate. This directly answers what investors care about: if I buy today, what could it be worth at handover?
Find a nearby comparable project
APREX™ identifies comparable projects — same district first, expanding cross-district within 5–15 km if needed — with the same unit type and similar size. Each comparable must itself be in a verified Market trading state, with real secondary transactions behind its growth rate. Same-district comparables are listed first, sorted by proximity.
Project today’s value forward to handover
Each comparable is a different development — we borrow its growth trajectory only, not its price. That proven rate of change is applied to today’s value of the unit being evaluated over the time remaining to handover. This keeps the projection anchored to what buyers are paying now, while using only verified market behavior.
Low, likely, and high are built from the same comparable set
The slowest comparable trend sets low, and the fastest sets high. The likely value blends all comparable trends, giving more influence to projects that are closer, have stronger transaction depth, and show recent resale activity. Every comparable is listed so investors and agents can open it, review the evidence, and judge the match themselves. Where only one comparable qualifies, low, likely and high collapse to a single point estimate — clearly labelled with the comparable count.
Floor plans without their own comparables borrow a rate
Some floor plan sizes within a project have too few comparable deliveries of their own. In that case, APREX™ borrows the growth rate from the nearest sibling floor plan (by size) within the same project that does have qualifying comparables, and marks the result as Borrowed so the source is never hidden.
We asked ourselves what a rational investor actually needs to make a decision. Not a black box with a single number. Just an honest range: here are the comparable projects that actually delivered in this area, here is how much each grew, and here is what the slowest, the weighted likely, and the fastest imply for this unit at handover. Every comparable is visible — you can agree or disagree with the match. That’s the point.
All inputs come from ADREC registered transactions. Developer price lists, portal listings, and marketing materials have no role in either engine.
Appreciation figures link back to specific transaction windows. Projection rates link back to a specific comparable project you can open and verify independently.
Every appreciation figure carries a confidence tier (HIGH / MED / LOW) and a coverage percentage. A number without adequate validation is flagged or withheld.
Every output is designed to be readable without a data science background. The methodology is explained in plain English alongside every number.
See APREX™ on any project
Open any off-plan project on Proprobin to see live appreciation scores and comparable-driven projections.